Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001410 0.001501 0.001594 0.001698 0.001811 0.001928 0.002061
2024-10-20 0.001260 0.001382 0.001513 0.001663 0.001831 0.002014 0.002228
2024-10-27 0.001168 0.001312 0.001470 0.001657 0.001873 0.002116 0.002411
2024-11-03 0.001064 0.001218 0.001392 0.001601 0.001850 0.002137 0.002494
2024-11-10 0.001017 0.001185 0.001377 0.001615 0.001904 0.002245 0.002682
2024-11-17 0.000962 0.001137 0.001342 0.001600 0.001920 0.002305 0.002810
2024-11-24 0.000929 0.001114 0.001333 0.001615 0.001970 0.002407 0.002993
2024-12-01 0.000879 0.001067 0.001292 0.001586 0.001964 0.002437 0.003082
2024-12-08 0.000841 0.001032 0.001264 0.001572 0.001973 0.002484 0.003195
2024-12-15 0.000808 0.001001 0.001240 0.001561 0.001985 0.002534 0.003312
2024-12-22 0.000782 0.000979 0.001225 0.001560 0.002009 0.002601 0.003453
2024-12-29 0.000753 0.000951 0.001201 0.001546 0.002015 0.002641 0.003558
2025-01-05 0.000727 0.000928 0.001186 0.001546 0.002043 0.002719 0.003729
2025-01-12 0.000691 0.000891 0.001149 0.001515 0.002028 0.002736 0.003813
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000869 0.001132 0.001510 0.002048 0.002803 0.003973
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000825 0.001085 0.001461 0.002003 0.002773 0.003986
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000815 0.001082 0.001474 0.002046 0.002874 0.004201
2025-02-09 0.000594 0.000792 0.001061 0.001460 0.002050 0.002916 0.004326
2025-02-16 0.000582 0.000783 0.001059 0.001473 0.002094 0.003018 0.004552
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000757 0.001032 0.001447 0.002078 0.003029 0.004631
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000738 0.001013 0.001434 0.002081 0.003068 0.004756
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000721 0.000998 0.001424 0.002087 0.003112 0.004892
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.000709 0.000988 0.001424 0.002108 0.003180 0.005070